Market Movers: Key Events to Watch this Week

• Event: CPI Inflation YoY (March)
• Forecast: 3.48%
• Previous: 3.21%

Lower CPI strengthens rate cut expectations and supports equities. Higher CPI may pressure Bank Nifty, NBFCs, Auto, and Realty stocks.

• Balance of Trade: $112B (Prev: $90.98B)
• Exports YoY: 8.3% (Prev: 39.6%)

Weak exports may signal slowing global demand and impact metals, commodity stocks .

• PPI MoM: 1.2% (Prev: 0.7%)
• Core PPI MoM: 0.5% (Prev: 0.5%)

Higher PPI increases chances of a hawkish Federal Reserve stance which can pressure global equities. Softer readings support risk-on sentiment.

• GDP YoY (Q1): 5% (Prev: 4.5%)
• GDP QoQ (Q1): 1.4% (Prev: 1.2%)
• Industrial Production: 5.9% (Prev: 6.3%)
• Retail Sales: 2.4% (Prev: 2.8%)

Stronger China growth supports metals, infrastructure, PSU stocks, and global cyclicals. Weak numbers may trigger risk-off sentiment across emerging markets.

• Forecast: 215K
• Previous: 219K

Higher jobless claims increase expectations of Fed rate cuts, supporting equities. Lower claims indicate a strong labor market and may delay easing expectations.